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Climate change may cost Americans born in 2024 nearly $500,000 in lifetime

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A man stands outside his flooded home after heavy rain in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, on April 13, 2023.

Chandan Khanna | AFP | Getty Images

The warming planet is already proving expensive.

U.S. weather and climate disasters cost more than $617 billion between 2018 and 2022 — a record figure, according to the U.S. Department of the Treasury. The October report found that around 13% of Americans reported economic hardship over the prior year due to climate change.

More people are likely to experience financial pain as temperatures climb and extreme weather events become more common, experts say.

With each additional degree of warming, the U.S. is expected to take a bigger economic hit, the Fifth National Climate Assessment warns. For example, an increase in global temperatures by 2°F is anticipated to double the financial impact induced by 1°F of warming.

Climate change could cost Americans born in 2024 nearly $500,000, due to higher taxes and pricier housing and food, among many other factors, ICF, a consulting firm, recently found in a report commissioned by Consumer Reports.

“The basic building blocks of our financial lives — housing, insurance, social welfare programs, taxes — will become more expensive or less valuable due to climate change, with lots of consequences for people’s wallets,” said Andrew Rumbach, a senior fellow at the Urban Institute.

‘Climateflation’ is already affecting prices

‘Household wealth is tied to housing’ — and that’s risky

A destroyed house following Hurricane Ian in Fort Myers Beach, Florida, US, on Tuesday, Oct. 4, 2022. 

Eva Marie Uzcategui | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Some of the biggest financial risks of climate change come into play with housing, Wagner said.

“Most household wealth is tied to housing, which [is] directly affected by everything from floods to droughts to wildfires,” he said.

At least 3 million Americans already report being displaced by a disaster, one survey by the U.S. Census Bureau found.

“That is tremendously costly for people and businesses,” Urban Institute’s Rumbach said.

Insurance companies are raising their monthly premiums on homeowner policies and rolling back coverage in areas prone to certain disasters to “adjust to climate risk,” he said.

“Florida, Louisiana and California are all facing severe challenges, and I expect these issues will spread to other states in the years ahead,” Rumbach said.

Globally, natural catastrophes cost insurers $108 billion in 2023, which is well above the annual average over the past 10 years of $89 billion, according to Swiss Re Institute. The institute estimates these losses could double within the next decade, as temperatures rise and storms intensify.

These costs are likely to be passed on to consumers, Rumbach said.

Currently, only around 40% of the expenses from natural catastrophes are covered by insurers, meaning the rest falls on governments and individuals, Swiss Re Institute found.

‘Clear interactions’ between climate and health

The warming planet could result in larger medical bills for many Americans.

Health-care costs due to fossil fuel pollution and climate change already exceed $800 billion a year in the U.S., a report by the Natural Resources Defense Council found.

Some of these expenses are a direct result of individual, dangerous disasters.

For example, Hurricane Sandy, which pounded the mid-Atlantic region in 2012, led to more than 12,000 hospital admissions, emergency room visits and outpatient encounters.

Damage is seen in the Breezy Point area of Queens in New York on October 30, 2012 after fire destroyed about 80 homes as a result of Hurricane Sandy which hit the area on October 29.

Stan Honda | AFP | Getty Images

Other health effects of climate change reflect more widespread shifts in global conditions.

“There are clear interactions between heat waves and health conditions,” said Charles Driscoll, a professor at Syracuse University who studies climate change. “For example, heat waves exacerbate cardiovascular events.”

Air pollution, for its part, is associated with respiratory diseases, cancer and nervous system disorders, Driscoll added.

Knock-on effects for taxes, wages, retirement savings

Federal, local and state governments will likely raise taxes as they deal with the higher costs of a hotter planet and more demand for their services.

At the same time, workers may see their wages shrink as businesses and communities are disrupted by storms and heat waves. Within seven years, up to 3.8% of total working hours around the world could be lost due to higher temperatures, according to the International Labour Organization. That amounts to roughly 136 million full-time jobs.

More than 65 million adult workers in the U.S. are in occupations endangered by climate-related health risks, KFF, formerly the Kaiser Family Foundation, estimated in a July 2023 analysis. These include fields with increased exposure to heat and decreased air quality, including construction and agricultural jobs.

ICF, the consulting firm, warns that global warming could put people’s retirement savings in jeopardy, too.

“Climate change is expected to decrease retirement income by impacting the value of corporate stocks held in retirement portfolios through higher costs to companies, declines in corporate productivity, damages to physical assets and supply chains, reduced resource availability and new costs associated with transitioning to low-carbon solutions,” it wrote.

A new economy in a hotter planet

The Woolsy fire burns a home near Malibu Lake in Malibu, Calif., Friday, Nov. 9, 2018. 

Ringo H.W. Chiu | AP

The workforce and education system are changing in anticipation of a hotter planet.

People are switching careers to leave fields threatened by global warming, such as gas and coal, while a small number of colleges are offering a new major: climate change studies.

Schools that offer such majors “are reporting a big increase” in demand, said higher education expert Mark Kantrowitz.

Meanwhile, the number of jobs in climate science is expected to grow by 6% between 2022 and 2032, compared to an average 3% for all occupations, the Bureau of Labor Statistics found.

“Slowing down and stopping climate change is a challenge, but also an opportunity for tremendous innovation and economic growth,” Urban Institute’s Rumbach said.

Climate change leads to droughts, which lead to crop failures, which cause food price spikes.

Gernot Wagner

a climate economist at Columbia Business School

In this new series, CNBC will examine what climate change means for your money, from retirement savings to insurance costs to career outlook.

We start with a story by reporter Greg Iacurci on how people continue to build in and move to Miami, despite the city being, in the words of one expert, “ground zero” for global warming. This dynamic is playing out across the country, and could worsen the financial pain ahead.

Has climate change left you with bigger or new bills? Tell us about your experience by emailing me at [email protected].

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Personal Finance

Why fewer young adults are able to invest in homeownership

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FILE PHOTO: An “Open House” sign outside of a home in Washington, DC, US, on Sunday, Nov. 19, 2023. 

Nathan Howard | Bloomberg | Getty Images

When Maryland Governor Wes Moore was 8 years old, his mother told him she wanted to send him to military school to correct his behavior.

Yet it wasn’t until he was 13 that she finally did send him to a military school in Pennsylvania. He ran away five times in the first four days.

“That place ended up really helping me change my life,” said Moore while speaking about retirement security at a BlackRock conference in Washington, D.C., on March 12.

One obstacle — the tuition costs — prevented his mother from sending him sooner, he said.

Impact of federal job and spending cuts on Maryland

Moore was able to attend the school thanks to help from his grandparents, who borrowed against the home they bought when they immigrated to the U.S., to help pay for the first year’s tuition.

“They ended up sacrificing part of their American dream so I could achieve my own,” Moore said.

“That’s what housing helps provide,” Moore said. “It’s not just shelter. It’s security; it’s an investment. It’s a chance you can tap into something if an emergency happens. It’s a chance that you now have an asset that you can hold onto, and you can pass off to future generations.”

After retirement funds, housing generally represents the second-most-valuable asset people have, Moore said.

Some now less likely to own homes than in 1980

Yet achieving that homeownership status can feel unattainable to prospective first-time buyers in today’s economy.

Around 30% of young Maryland residents are thinking of leaving the state because of high housing costs, Moore said.

Both renters and homeowners across the U.S. are struggling with high housing costs, according to a 2024 report from the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University. The number of cost-burdened renters — meaning those who spend more than 30% of their income on rent and utilities — climbed to an all-time high in 2022. At the same time, millions of prospective homebuyers have been priced out by high home prices and interest rates.

Many hopeful first-time home buyers may feel that it was easier for their parents and grandparents’ generations to reach home ownership status.

Research shows those feelings are justified.

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Since 1980, median home prices have increased much faster than median household incomes, according to recent research from the Urban Institute.

Across the country, today’s 35- to 44-years olds — who are in their critical homebuying years — are less likely to be homeowners than in 1980, according to the research.

For that age cohort, the homeownership rate has dropped by more than 10% compared to 45 years ago, the Urban Institute found. Because today’s 35- to 44-year-olds are also forming households at a lower rate, that number is likely understated, according to the research.

Ultimately, that can have lasting impacts on their ability to build wealth, said Jun Zhu, a non-resident fellow at the Urban Institute’s Housing Finance Policy Center.

“When you have a house, when the house appreciates, you’re going to earn home equity,” Zhu said. “Earning home equity is actually a very important way to earn wealth.”

Those 35- to 44-year-olds who are in lower income quartiles have seen the biggest declines in homeownership compared to their peers. That is driven in part by the fact that people who are married are more likely to be homeowners, while lower-income individuals are less likely to be married.

Education is also a factor in widening the homeownership gap, according to the Urban Institute, as a smaller share of heads of households who have the lowest incomes are getting college degrees.

Racial divide in homeownership rates persists

Separate research from the National Association of Realtors also points to a racial divide with regard to housing affordability.

In 2023, the latest data available, the Black homeownership rate of 44.7% saw the greatest year-over-year increase among racial groups but was still well behind the white homeownership rate of 72.4%. Other groups fell in between, with Asians having a 63.4% and Hispanics having a 51% homeownership rate.

Strong wage growth and younger generations reaching prime home buying age contributed to the increase in Black homeownership in 2023, said Nadia Evangelou, senior economist and director of real estate research at the National Association of Realtors.

Yet the Black homeownership rate has stayed below 50% over the past decade, Evangelou said, which means most continue to rent instead of owning. That ultimately limits their ability to grow their net worth and accumulate wealth.  

Policy changes could make it easier for Americans to buy their first home. That could include providing educational opportunities for low-income households, offering down payment assistance and encouraging housing production by reducing zoning restrictions or other regulatory barriers, according to the Urban Institute.

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Personal Finance

These big inherited IRA mistakes can shrink your windfall

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Djelics | E+ | Getty Images

If you’ve inherited an individual retirement account, you may have big plans for the balance — but costly mistakes can quickly shrink the windfall, experts say.

Many investors roll pre-tax 401(k) plans into traditional IRAs, which trigger regular income taxes on future withdrawals. The tax rules are complicated for the heirs who inherit these IRAs.

The average IRA balance was $127,534 during the fourth quarter of 2024, up 38% from 2014, based on a Fidelity analysis of 16.8 million IRA accounts as of Dec. 31.

But some inherited accounts are significantly larger, and errors can be expensive, said IRA expert Denise Appleby, CEO of Appleby Retirement Consulting in Grayson, Georgia.

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Here are some big inherited IRA mistakes and how to avoid them, according to financial experts. 

What to know about the ’10-year rule’

Before the Secure Act of 2019, heirs could empty inherited IRAs over their lifetime to reduce yearly taxes, known as the “stretch IRA.”

But since 2020, certain heirs must follow the “10-year rule,” and IRAs must be depleted by the 10th year after the original account owner’s death. This applies to beneficiaries who are not a spouse, minor child, disabled, chronically ill or certain trusts.

Many heirs still don’t know how the 10-year rule works, and that can cost them, Appleby said.

If you don’t drain the balance within 10 years, there’s a 25% IRS penalty on the amount you should have withdrawn, which could be reduced or eliminated if you fix the issue within two years.

Inherited IRAs are a ‘ticking tax bomb’

For pre-tax inherited IRAs, one big mistake could be waiting until the 10th year to withdraw most of the balance, said certified financial planner Trevor Ausen, founder of Authentic Life Financial Planning in Minneapolis.

“For most, it’s a ticking tax bomb,” and the extra income in a single year could push you into a “much higher tax bracket,” he said.

Similarly, some heirs cash out an inherited IRA soon after receiving it without weighing the tax consequences, according to IRA expert and certified public accountant Ed Slott. This move could also bump you into a higher tax bracket, depending on the size of your IRA.

“It’s like a smash and grab,” he said.

Rather than depleting the IRA in one year, advisors typically run multi-year tax projections to help heirs decide when to strategically take funds from the inherited account.

Generally, it’s better to spread out withdrawals over 10 years or take funds if there’s a period when your income is lower, depending on tax brackets, experts say. 

Many heirs must take RMDs in 2025

Starting in 2025, most non-spouse heirs must take required minimum distributions, or RMDs, while emptying inherited IRAs over 10 years, if the original account owner reached RMD age before death, according to final regulations released in July.

That could surprise some beneficiaries since the IRS previously waived penalties for missed RMDs from inherited IRAs, experts say.

While your custodian calculates your RMD, there are instances where it could be inaccurate, Appleby explained.

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For example, there may be mistakes if you rolled over a balance in December or there’s a big age difference between you and your spouse.

“You need to communicate those things to your tax advisor,” she said.

Generally, you calculate RMDs for each account by dividing your prior Dec. 31 balance by a “life expectancy factor” provided by the IRS.

If you skip RMDs or don’t withdraw enough in 2025, you could see a 25% IRS penalty on the amount you should have withdrawn, or 10% if fixed within two years.

But the agency could waive the fee “if you act quickly enough” by sending Form 5329 and attaching a letter of explanation, Appleby said.

“Fix it the first year and tell the IRS you’re going to make sure it doesn’t happen again,” she said.

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U.S. shoppers ‘doom spend’ as they brace for inflation

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Consumer confidence in where the economy is headed hit a 12-year low this week, according to the Conference Board. A fresh reading out of University of Michigan today also showed a deterioration in overall sentiment with a 12% drop from February, marking the third month of decline.

Despite Americans’ concerns about the economy, they seem to be spending more. Roughly one in five Americans are shopping out of fear of future price hikes, which some experts refer to as doom spending.

Doom spending means making impulsive purchases largely driven out of fear over what the future may bring. In some cases, it’s a kind of retail therapy, but it can also be a strategy to get ahead of economic uncertainty.

“People are worried for a number of reasons,” Wendy De La Rosa, a Wharton professor who studies consumer behavior, told CNBC. “We as humans hate uncertainty and are averse to volatility. And so when there’s whiplash happening at a national level as to what tariffs are happening with which country and how it’s going to affect our domestic industries, that makes people really nervous.”

Consumer spending came in softer than expected in last month, but overall sales continued to grow steadily amid mounting fears of an economic slowdown and inflation.

It’s not just consumers who are concerned. Major companies, such as Walmart, Delta, and American Airlines, along with the Federal Reserve and Wall Street are all signaling uncertainty. The S&P 500 dropped 10% from record highs in February, suggesting investor fears over an economic slowdown.

Watch the video above to learn why Americans are spending more even in tough times and what this pattern means for the economy.

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