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European businesses have never been this gloomy about China

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A L ‘Oreal store near the Nanjing Road Pedestrian Street in Shanghai, China on April 1, 2025.

Cfoto | Future Publishing | Getty Images

BEIJING — European business optimism about China has hit its lowest on record – worse than during the pandemic — due to slower growth and geopolitical worries.

A record 73% of respondents in the EU Chamber of Commerce in China’s annual survey said doing business in the Asian country has become more difficult in the past year, marking a new high for a fourth-straight year.

That’s just one of the several record lows in sentiment found in the annual survey, which has been published since 2004. The latest study released Wednesday, covered 503 respondents in January and February.

“Companies are really feeling the squeeze, being pessimistic, but again finding very compelling supply chains in China that necessitate a continued presence [in] the Chinese market,” Jens Eskelund, president of the chamber, told reporters this week.

Still, that doesn’t mean business confidence is close to returning.

“We haven’t seen an inflection point yet,” Eskelund said. “A lot of it boils down to uncertainty.”

The survey reflected how challenges for foreign businesses in China have largely increased since the pandemic lockdown in 2022 disrupted supply chains. While local brands have become more competitive, overall consumer demand has remained lackluster amid the real estate slump and uncertainty in the job market.

China's under-consumption a structural issue, but spending potential of the youth is very positive

Cosmetics companies were particularly hit. The industry blamed a drop in local demand and reported a 45% drop in revenue in 2024 from a year before — only the second decline in the past decade, according to the chamber’s report.

On the other hand, aviation and aerospace were the rare industries saying that doing business in China became easier.

Slower growth is diminishing China’s attractiveness relative to other markets.

A record low of only 12% of respondents were optimistic about profitability in China in the coming two years, while the fewest on record ranked the country as a top destination for future investments. Another record low of 38% of respondents said they planned to expand in China over the coming year.

And while Beijing has announced efforts to improve conditions for foreign investment, many challenges remain.

A record 63% of respondents said they missed business opportunities in China last year due to market access restrictions and regulatory barriers. Medical device businesses who responded said European companies experienced discrimination due to public procurement practices favoring domestic players.

The scale of pessimism echoed an annual survey of U.S. companies in China released in late January that showed a record share of American businesses were accelerating plans to relocate manufacturing or sourcing.

Meanwhile, 53% of respondents said they would increase their investments in China if more action was taken to improve local market access.

Supply chain competition

China remains dominant in the global supply chain for its ability to offer quality parts at the lowest price — the only way that businesses are able to stay competitive, Eskelund said, citing conversations over the last three weeks with hundreds of companies across the chamber’s six chapters in China.

When asked about supply chain diversification, more than a quarter of respondents said they were increasing onshoring to China as a way to meet localization requirements and better reach the domestic market.

A far smaller share at 10% of respondents said they were establishing overseas alternative supply chains while keeping their existing network in China. The survey also found that nearly half of respondents said their Chinese suppliers were also moving operations to other markets.

Chinese and EU leaders are set to hold a summit in Beijing in July as both try to strengthen bilateral ties amid higher U.S. tariffs. The EU is China’s second-largest trading partner on a regional basis.

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BNPL payment plans require careful budgeting to avoid costly fees, expert says

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Using “buy now, pay later” (BNPL) has become increasingly common in recent years as people look to split up and finance purchases they make. 

According to Credit Sesame financial analyst Richard Barrington, some key steps people should take as they utilize BNPL include budgeting beforehand, reviewing the terms of the plan, determining what fees could be associated and being prepared for automatic payments.

“If you need BNPL to be able to pay for something, you have to question how you’re going to come up with the money to make the BNPL payments when they come due,” he said, noting budgeting ahead of time can help someone figure out if they can foot the bill for what they’re buying and any debt they could build up because of it.

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He recommended reviewing what income will come in “over the term of the BNPL payments” and then subtracting “all the essential expenses you’ll have during that time” to help “see if you’ll have enough left over to cover BNPL payments.”

“If not, you risk missing one of those BNPL payments and incurring late fees,” he said. 

Budgeting beforehand can “also help you avoid not being able to afford one of those essential expenses because you committed too much money” to BNPL, according to Barrington. 

The Credit Sesame financial analyst urged people taking out BNPL loans to take a close look at the terms of the plan they’re signing up for. 

“Know how much you have to pay and when,” Barrington said. “Also pay attention to what happens if you don’t make a payment on time.” 

Knowing the timing and size of the BNPL payments can help avoid incurring a late fee, he said.

BNPL late fees averaged $7 for a loan taken out on a $135 purchase, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. 

Barrington advised “avoid signing a BNPL agreement you can’t take home and read first.”

“Many BNPL arrangements are made at the point of sale, like in a store. That means you’re trying to understand the terms while you’re in a hurry and with lots of distractions around,” he said. “Instead, take the agreement home with you to read, and then come back to the store to make the purchase. If it doesn’t seem worth that effort, perhaps you don’t really need to buy the item.” 

klarna

Members of the public pass by a floor advertisement for tech firm Klarna, a European ecommerce company which allows users to buy now, pay later, or pay in installments. (Daniel Harvey Gonzalez/In Pictures via Getty Images / Getty Images)

BNPL can have “strict payment terms” that can lead to late fees, so it’s important to know what the costs associated with the plans could look like, according to Barrington. 

“These fees may look like they’re fairly low dollar amounts, but since BNPL purchases are generally for relatively low-priced items, they can represent a large percentage of the purchase price,” he explained.

Some ways people can steer clear of late fees from BNPL include budgeting and knowing the terms of the installment plan they’re using.

On top of that, he said, creating calendar reminders or using automatic payment options can be helpful. 

When it came to automatic BNPL payments, Barrington noted people should “pay close attention to the amount and schedule” because “otherwise you may find yourself hit with an overdraft fee if your bank account doesn’t have sufficient funds to cover the payments.” 

COSTCO ROLLS OUT BUY NOW, PAY LATER FOR BIG ONLINE PURCHASES THROUGH AFFIRM

Some BNPL services make enrollment in automatic payments mandatory, he said. 

However, people should not take out more than one out at a time, according to Barrington.

“People often turn to BNPL loans when they’re having trouble making ends meet,” he said. “That’s not going to get any easier if they take on multiple BNPL obligations that they’re going to have to come up with the money for in the months to come.”

Online shopping using smartphone

Some retail experts and financial lending providers are saying buy now, pay later programs are the new layaway. (iStock / iStock)

He said to “avoid using BNPL for anything whose useful life lasts less time than it will take you to finish paying off the BNPL loan.” 

BUY NOW, PAY LATER USAGE FOR GROCERIES NEARLY DOUBLES AS CONSUMERS STRUGGLE WITH FOOD COSTS

Another tip that Barrington had was to look into secured credit cards or “becoming an authorized user on someone else’s card” instead of BNPL.

“Secured credit cards or having someone sign you on as an authorized user of their card can be a way in for people who don’t have good enough credit to qualify for a card on their own,” he said.

Credit requirements can differ from card to card. Americans had FICO Scores of 715 on average last year, according to Experian.

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China’s EV price war is heating up. What’s behind the big discounts?

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Customers look at BYD electric cars at an auto show in Yantai, in eastern China’s Shandong province on April 10, 2025.

Stringer | Afp | Getty Images

BEIJING — Competition in China’s electric car market just got fiercer with consequences for the domestic economy and even the global auto market.

Industry giant BYD last week announced a slew of discounts — some of nearly 30% or more — across several of its lower-end battery-only and hybrid models. The budget-friendly Seagull compact car saw its price drop to 55,800 yuan ($7,750).

Other major Chinese automakers have begun following suit.

“BYD’s action this time has made the industry rather nervous,” Zhong Shi, an analyst with the China Automobile Dealers Association, said in Mandarin, translated by CNBC.

“The industry is in [a state of] relatively large shock,” he said, noting smaller automakers are now more worried about their ability to compete.

The industry has been a rare bright spot in an economy that has been seeing slower growth and lackluster consumer demand. Part of Beijing’s latest attempt to spur consumption included subsidies for new energy vehicles, a category that includes battery-only and hybrid-powered cars.

“The latest car price competition underscores how supply-demand imbalance continues to fuel deflation,” Morgan Stanley’s Chief China Economist Robin Xing said in a report Wednesday.

“There is growing rhetoric about the need for rebalancing [to more consumption], but recent developments suggest the old supply-driven model remains intact,” he said. “Thus, reflation is likely to remain elusive.”

How 'copycat' phone maker Xiaomi became a force in China's EV market

China’s electric car market has already been in a price war for the last two years, partly fueled by Tesla.

But this time, traditional automakers, including state-owned ones, are feeling significant heat as the share of new energy vehicles has come to account for about half of new passenger cars sold in China.

Last week, Great Wall Motors Chairman Wei Jianjun warned of an “Evergrande” in China’s auto industry that had yet to explode, comparing the fast-growing EV industry to the country’s bloated real estate sector. The outspoken private sector autos executive was speaking to Chinese media outlet Sina in an interview posted on May 23.

Once China’s real estate giant, Evergrande defaulted on its debt in late 2021 as the property market slumped after Beijing cracked down on the company’s high debt levels. Demand for homes also fell following tighter government regulations, leaving the developer struggling to finance the remaining construction of pre-sold units.

As Chinese media scrutiny on automakers’ financial situation rose, BYD on Wednesday refuted reports that it excessively pressured one of its dealers on cash flow. The dealer, Jinan Qiansheng in the eastern province of Shandong, did not immediately respond to a CNBC request for comment. BYD referred CNBC to its statement to Chinese media.

In the early years of China’s state-supported efforts to become a global leader in the emerging electric vehicle industry, the Ministry of Finance said it found at least five companies cheated the government of over 1 billion yuan ($140 million). The high-level policy encouraged a flood of startups, of which only a handful survived.

A 19% price drop over two years

In China, the average car retail price has fallen by around 19% over the past two years to around 165,000 yuan ($22,900), according to a Nomura report this week, citing industry data from Autohome Research Institute.

Price cuts were far steeper for hybrid or range-extension vehicles, at 27% over the last two years, while battery-only cars saw prices slashed by 21%, the report said. It noted that traditional fuel-powered cars saw a below-average 18% price cut.

In contrast, the average price of a new car in the U.S. was $48,699 in April, up nearly 1% from two years earlier, according to CNBC calculations of data from Cox Automotive. The average electric car price last month was an even higher $59,255.

BYD’s latest round of price cuts didn’t include the company’s higher-end models priced around 200,000 yuan, such as its flagship Han electric sedan. Reuters pointed out the newest model of the Han released in February was about 10% cheaper than its previous version, according to its calculations.

The Chinese auto giant, which was backed by Warren Buffett in its early years, has rapidly captured market share in China with its wide range of cars at various price points. The company reported a net profit increase of 49% to 14.17 billion yuan last year. Total current liabilities rose by more than 60% to 57.15 billion yuan. Cash and cash equivalents fell slightly to 102.26 billion yuan.

Price war to continue

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In the last several months, China’s top leaders have increasingly called for efforts to address non-productive business competition, known as “involution.” The term was mentioned in the premier’s annual work report in March and in the market regulator’s meeting last week which called for “comprehensively rectifying ‘involutionary’ competition.”

However, the massive effort to produce lower-cost electric cars in China, and the automakers’ subsequent move to expand into other markets, has increased worries about the impact on other countries’ auto industries.

The European Union slapped tariffs on imports of China-made electric cars after probing the companies over the use of government subsidies in their manufacture. The U.S. also imposed duties of 100% on China-made electric cars, quashing hopes that the vehicles might enter the world’s second-largest auto market.

But in the EU, tariffs have had limited effect. In April, BYD outsold Tesla in Europe for the first time, according to JATO Dynamics. Tesla’s Europe sales plunged by 49% that month, according to the European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association.

— CNBC’s Bernice Ooi contributed to this report

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