While U.S.-China trade tensions escalate , analysts predict a handful of Chinese companies could win out on Beijing’s efforts to double down on generative artificial intelligence. “We expect AI demand to stay strong as deepseek cost improvements have driven application development such that companies are seeing AI development as critical for growth and for competition,” Bernstein analyst Boris Van and a team said in an April 7 note. “We also expect the development for the AI+chip ecosystem to be a key push from the government to offset tariff impacts,” the analysts said. Chinese companies have rushed to try out DeepSeek’s generative artificial intelligence capabilities in the last few months. Some businesses have reported cost savings , and strategists expect that could help corporate earnings finally turn around. Bernstein’s two outperform-rated plays are Shanghai-listed Kingsoft Office, operator of word-processing app WPS, and Hong Kong-listed Kingdee , which sells software services for business management. The investment analysts pointed out that during the escalation in U.S.-China tensions during U.S. President Donald Trump’s first term, Chinese spending on local information technology increased as localization policies were announced, partly to offset tariff impacts on trade. “We could likely see a scenario where AI is the new critical technology that China will use to sustain further growth,” the Bernstein analysts said, noting that locally created systems such as the Huawei ecosystem could be promoted. The AI-integrated version of WPS reached 19.68 million monthly active users in mainland China last year, Kingsoft Office said in an annual report last month. The company has released a version of WPS for Huawei’s HarmonyOS Next operating system that claims to be independent of Android. Kingdee said in its annual report last month that it planned “a full pivot into an Enterprise Management AI company” this year. The company said in a filing last week that it gained new customers in the first quarter, including automaker Geely, spirits company Kweichow Moutai and 01.AI, an AI start-up founded by former Google China head Kai-Fu Lee. The Economist Intelligence Unit estimates China’s AI-related spending will grow by up to 25% annually this year and next, adding up to 0.13% of 2024’s nominal gross domestic product in economic output. Tariff tensions between the U.S. and China However, Goldman Sachs and Citi in the last week cut their forecasts for China’s economic growth this year given heightened tensions between the U.S. and Beijing. China on Friday hit back at yet another round of U.S. tariff increases with duties of its own . Both nations escalated their duties on one another’s goods to triple-digit rates . China said it planned to “ignore” subsequent U.S. tariff increases, but remained committed to retaliating if necessary on other U.S. actions. “The full-swing tariff war may hurt the macro economy and the ripple-effect may spread over to most of the economic sectors,” Nomura’s China technology research analyst Bing Duan and a team said in an April 7 note. “Meanwhile, we think domestic AI demand would remain buoyant, following DeepSeek’s innovation and China’s ambition for AI leadership.” “We like [internet data center]/Cloud companies the most as the demand is largely unaffected by the ‘reciprocal’ tariff,” Nomura said. Their buy-rated plays in the category include state-owned China Mobile and two U.S.-listed stocks: GDS and Vnet . Shanghai-based GDS, which develops and operates data centers in China, forecast revenue this year would rise by at least 9.4% to 11.29 billion yuan. Beijing-based Vnet said its net revenues from internet data center increased by 28.3% last year to 1.63 billion yuan. “The overall utilization rate of wholesale data center in Greater Beijing Area is projected to reach 85% as early as 2025, marking the first potential supply shortage in the market,” the company said in an earnings call, according to a FactSet transcript. Less than 5% of each of the companies’ revenue comes from the U.S., while the remainder primarily comes from China, the analysts said. “We think the key growth drivers for China’s cloud computing and IDC companies are the pent-up demand for computing power / infrastructure after DeepSeek was launched, which is not directly affected by the tariff hike,” the Nomura analysts said. “To mitigate the tariff impact on China’s export growth, the government may continue to encourage the investments to boost domestic growth, especially in digital infrastructure, including cloud computing & IDC infrastructure. Nomura’s second-most favored category is AI software and applications, where the analysts’ buy-rated plays are Hong Kong-listed Kingdee and Kingsoft Corp , parent of Kingsoft Office. — CNBC’s Michael Bloom contributed to this report.
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., April 11, 2025.
Brendan Mcdermid | Reuters
Wild intraday gyrations in stocks since “liberation day” have put investors more on edge than ever, and the popularity of zero-day-to-expiration options is partly to blame.
Zero-day-to-expiration options are contracts that expire the same day that they’re traded. The trading volume of 0DTE options tied to the S&P 500 surged to 8.5 million in April, a 23% jump since the beginning of the year and accounting for roughly 7% of the total volume in U.S. option markets, according to data from JPMorgan.
These securities have become a popular tool for investors, big and small, to make a quick buck or hedge against sudden event-driven moves in the broader market. Many argued that large volumes of these short-lived vehicles can exacerbate price swings in the market as dealers and market makers buy and sell underlying assets to balance their positions.
“You’re seeing the zero data options market amplify and exaggerate almost up or down. If you go back 10, 20 years, you didn’t have these catalysts,” said Jeff Kilburg, KKM Financial CEO and CIO. “It’s almost like gasoline on a fire when you see a move being exaggerated by the underlying options move.”
S&P 500
Volatility surged as Trump introduced steep tariffs on U.S. key trading partners and repeatedly reversed and changed his own policy. On Wednesday, the S&P 500 posted its third-biggest gain in post-World War II history, following a four-day rout that briefly pushed it into bear market territory. Last week also saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average fall at least 1,500 points on back-to-back days, the first time in history.
S&P 500’s intraday volatility almost doubled last week to 44%, exceeding the 2020 highs and is now reaching levels last seen during the depth of the 2008 financial crisis, according to data from Cboe Global Markets. This extreme uncertainty fueled the demand for 0DTEs as investors look to hedge risk and take advantage of the volatility.
“We find that 0DTE (+1DTE) have been instrumental in driving more intraday volatility, with this higher intraday activity not necessarily getting captured on a close-to-close basis,” Maxwell Grinacoff, UBS’ head of U.S. equity derivatives research, said in a note.
These options are also made more accessible for retail investors using online broker Robinhood. An option is a contract that gives its owner the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a specific amount of an underlying asset at an agreed-upon price, known as the strike price, and on a specific date.
“Options have been an institutional tool for decades now, and the sophistication of retail investors is allowing more and more people to utilize options to hedge or to simply speculate,” Kilburg said.
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: Apple — The stock added more than 2% as sentiment on tech shares broadly rose Monday. President Donald Trump announced on Friday that several electronic devices and components will be exempt from U.S. tariffs . The policy benefits Apple given that the majority of the iPhone maker’s products are manufactured in China. Several Wall Street analysts were relieved following the exemption , but said Apple still faces growth concerns amid a weaker macroeconomic environment. China tech stocks — U.S. shares of Chinese tech firms gained on the heels of the Trump administration’s move to exempt smartphones, computers and semiconductors from “reciprocal” tariffs. Shares of e-commerce giants Alibaba and PDD each advanced more than 5%, while others such as JD.com and Baidu rose more than 4% and 3%, respectively. Palantir Technologies — The software stock climbed 4% after NATO announced it had finalized its acquisition of Palantir’s Maven Smart System, an artificial intelligence-enabled warfighting system. NATO expects to use the system within its Allied Command Operations within the next 30 days. Viking Therapeutics — The clinical-stage biopharma stock surged about 8% after Pfizer said on Monday that it was stopping development of its daily weight loss pill known as danuglipron. Pfizer’s decision comes after a patient experienced a liver injury possibly caused by the drug during a trial. Traders are now speculating the company may try to enter the GLP-1 space via an acquisition. Viking has oral and injectable GLP-1 drugs in clinical trials. Goldman Sachs — Shares jumped more than 2% after the investment bank’s first-quarter results beat Wall Street’s expectations on the top and bottom lines. Goldman Sachs earned $14.12 per share on revenue of $15.06 billion, above the $12.35 per share and revenue of $14.81 billion that analysts surveyed by LSEG were expecting. Dell Technologies — The computer hardware stock rose more than 4% after the news over the weekend that some of the tariffs on technology products from China have been rolled back, at least temporarily . Intel — Shares gained nearly 5% after the chipmaker announced it is going to sell its majority stake in Altera to private equity firm Silver Lake. The deal is expected to close in the second half of this year. Best Buy — The electronics retailer soared nearly 5% on the back of the White House’s exemption of electronic goods from reciprocal tariffs. — CNBC’s Hakyung Kim, Jesse Pound, Lisa Kailai Han and Pia Singh contributed reporting.
Check out the companies making headlines before the bell. Goldman Sachs — The investment bank gained nearly 2% after reporting a top- and bottom-line beat in the first quarter. Goldman Sachs posted earnings of $14.12 per share while analysts had called for $12.35, according to LSEG. Revenue of $15.06 billion also beat consensus expectations for $14.81 billion. Pfizer — Shares were down slightly in the premarket after the company said it would halt development of its daily weight loss pill. This comes after a patient experienced a liver injury possibly caused by the drug during a trial. Apple — The iPhone maker popped more than 5% Monday morning after President Donald Trump announced smartphones, among other electronics, would be exempt from reciprocal tariffs, at least temporarily . Chipmakers — Semiconductors stocks broadly rose after Trump excluded them from his reciprocal tariffs. Nvidia climbed 3%, while Advanced Micro Devices and Super Micro Computer jumped around 4% and 5% each. Best Buy — The electronics retailer soared nearly 9%, making it one of the biggest S & P 500 winners Monday premarket. Shares advanced on the back of the White House’s exemption of electronic goods from its reciprocal tariffs. Dell — The electronics stock rose nearly 6% after the Trump administration confirmed at least a temporary rollback of some of the tariffs on technology imports from China. Intel — The chipmaker jumped 4% after announcing it will sell its majority stake in Altera to private equity firm Silver Lake. — CNBC’s Jesse Pound contributed reporting