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Latinas contributed $1.3 trillion to U.S. economy, new report says. That number could be even bigger

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Miami Beach, Florida, Manolo, restaurant, employees at bakery counter. (Photo by: Jeffrey Greenberg/Universal Images Group via Getty Images)

Jeff Greenberg | Universal Images Group | Getty Images

Latinas are making substantial contributions to the U.S. economy.

The female Hispanic population contributed $1.3 trillion to gross domestic product in 2021, an increase from $661 billion in 2010, according to a recent report funded by Bank of America.

That marks a real GDP growth rate of 51.1% between 2010 and 2021, meaning an economic contribution that’s 2.7 times that of the non-Hispanic population.

The total output of U.S. Latinas in 2021 was also larger than the entire state of Florida that year, the report noted, citing data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In fact, only those from California, Texas and New York, respectively, were larger that year.

Despite those large figures, some economists think that U.S. Latinas could be contributing more to GDP than the report’s figure.

Belinda Román, an associate economics professor at St. Mary’s University, said that there’s activity in various areas that the data may not be capturing. Child care is one of those.

“A lot of that is uncompensated care,” she said in an interview with CNBC. “Interestingly, there are a lot of Latinas in that space that you’re not going to see in these numbers, so I think to some extent it may not be big enough actually.”

Economist Mónica García-Pérez also believes the figure could be bigger, saying that some of Latinas’ “unmeasured” contributions — such as being a stay-at-home mom that’s providing care for other neighbors’ kids, for example — allow “other groups to participate in the labor market.”

She also pointed to the occupational positions they hold more generally as posing some difficulty when assessing their contributions.

“This group is very sensitive to shocks, and it could be related to their presence in sectors where there’s a lot of mobility or turnover,” the Fayetteville State University economics professor said. She added that they tend to be concentrated in care and service industries, such as health care, retail and hospitality. This is what makes them a “moving piece” in economic cycles.

In the case of a recession, for instance, García-Pérez said Latinas are “likely to lose their job much faster being in the sectors they’re in,” as seen during the Covid-19 pandemic. “But they also may be more likely to be reincorporated in the market because the cost of entry and the type of positions they enter at have lower barriers.”

A growing force

When it comes to labor force participation, Latinas are outpacing other groups, the BofA report showed.

From 2000 to 2021, the participation rate for Latinas rose 7.5 percentage points. On the other hand, the participation rate of the non-Hispanic women in the same period was flat.

The group has also been more resilient than others. Although labor force growth slowed overall in 2020, the growth rates for Hispanic men and women were still positive. Conversely, the non-Latino labor force growth rate was negative that year, meaning that more people left the labor force than entered it.

Beyond that, Latina GDP grew more than five times the rate of non-Latino GDP between 2019 and 2021, gaining 7.7% compared to 1.5%. Meanwhile, the GDP of Hispanic men grew nearly four times the rate of non-Latino GDP in those years at 5.9%.

These contributions are notable given that Latino households were some of the hardest hit by the pandemic.

“When the economy broadly is most in need, that’s actually when we see the most dramatic contributions of U.S. Latinas,” said economist Matthew Fienup, the report’s co-author and executive director of the Center for Economic Research and Forecasting at California Lutheran University. “Whereas all Latinos are a source of economic strength, Latinas are drivers of vitality that the economy needs.”

“If Covid-19 couldn’t stop this growth, it’s hard to see what would,” said David Hayes-Bautista, report co-author and director of the Center for the Study of Latino Health and Culture at the School of Medicine at UCLA.

Drivers of change

Since the late 1970s, the share of Latinas with a job has grown. Specifically, the employment-to-population ratio for the group has surged from 41.6% in December 1978 to 56% in December 2023, per data from the Economic Policy Institute.

By comparison, the ratio for Black women — who alongside Latinas experience the most severe wage gaps relative to white, non-Hispanic men — has advanced 11.9 percentage points. The metric for women overall has climbed by 8.8 percentage points in that period.

“Some of this is an expansion of opportunities for women,” said Elise Gould, a senior economist at EPI. Part of this is also due to a lack of wage growth for typical workers over the past few decades, she said. “Because it can be hard to get ahead, households may have had to put in more work hours to do better.”

That seems to be paying off to some extent. The growth in labor force participation as well as a rise in educational attainment are resulting in income gains for the group, notably about 2.5 times that of non-Hispanic women from 2010 to 2021, the BofA’s report co-authors found.

Brooklyn Puerto Rico Day Parade on June 13, 2021 on Knickerbocker Avenue in the Bushwick neighborhood of Brooklyn, New York.

Andrew Lichtenstein | Corbis News | Getty Images

Hayes-Bautista also cited intergenerational shifts and Hispanic women’s more rapid population growth over the Hispanic male and non-Latino populations as another catalyst of Latinas’ economic output.

“What we started to see in about the year 2000 is that the immigrant first-generation started to age out of the labor force,” he said. “As they age out, their shoes are being filled by their daughters and granddaughters, who are twice as numerous in terms of population size, and they’re bringing much higher levels of human capital.”

Latinas have especially bolstered the contributions of Latinos as a whole. Fienup told CNBC that Latinos’ total contributions have pushed labor force growth positive in certain regions across the country at times when the non-Latino labor force was contracting.

“We expect that dynamic to be increasingly important over the next three decades,” he said. “What we’re seeing now is really just the beginning of what will be an increasingly important story in the United States economy.”

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Checks and Balance newsletter: The election of Pope Leo XIV goes beyond American politics

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Checks and Balance newsletter: The election of Pope Leo XIV goes beyond American politics

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Germany’s economy chief Reiche sets out roadmap to end turmoil

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09 May 2025, Bavaria, Gmund Am Tegernsee: Katherina Reiche (CDU), Federal Minister for Economic Affairs and Energy, takes part in the Ludwig Erhard Summit. Representatives from business, politics, science and the media are taking part in the three-day summit. Photo: Sven Hoppe/dpa (Photo by Sven Hoppe/picture alliance via Getty Images)

Picture Alliance | Picture Alliance | Getty Images

Germany needs to take more risks and boost its stagnant economy with a decade of investment in infrastructure, German Minister for Economic Affairs and Energy Katherina Reiche said Friday.

“The next decade will be the decade of infrastructure investments in bridges, in energy infrastructure, in storage, in maritime infrastructure… telecommunication. And for this, we need speed. We need speed and investments, and we need private capital,” Reiche told CNBC’s Annette Weisbach on the sidelines of the Tegernsee summit.

While 10% of investments could be taken care of with public money, the remaining 90% relied on the private sector, she said.

The newly minted economy minister also addressed regulation coming from Brussels, warning that it could hinder companies from investments and start-ups from growing if it is too restrictive. Germany has had to learn that investments comes with risks “and we have to kind of be open for taking more risks,” she said.

Watch CNBC's full interview with German Economy Minister Katherina Reiche

“This country needs an economic turnaround. After two years of recessions the previous government had to announce again [a] zero growth year for 2025 and we really have to work on this. So on the top of the agenda is an investor booster,” the minister added.

Lowering energy prices, stabilizing the security of energy supply and reducing bureaucracy were among the key points on the agenda, Reiche said.

Germany’s economy contracted slightly on an annual basis in both 2023 and 2024 and the quarterly gross domestic product has been flipping between growth and contraction for over two years now, just about managing to avoid a technical recession. Preliminary data for the first quarter of 2025 showed a 0.2% expansion.

Forecasts do not suggest much of a reprieve from the sluggishness, with the now former German government last month saying it still expects the economy to stagnate this year.

This is despite a major fiscal U-turn announced earlier this year, which included changes to the country’s long-standing debt rules to allow for additional defense spending and a 500-billion-euro ($562.4 billion) infrastructure package.

Several of Germany’s key industries are under pressure. The auto industry for example is dealing with stark competition from China and now faces tariffs, while issues in housebuilding and infrastructure have been linked to higher costs and bureaucratic hurdles.

Trade is also a key pillar for the German economy and therefore uncertainty from U.S. President Donald Trump’s changing tariff policies are weighing heavily on the outlook.

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Andrew Bailey on why UK-U.S. trade deal won’t end uncertainty

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Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey attends the central bank’s Monetary Policy Report press conference at the Bank of England, in the City of London, on May 8, 2025.

Carlos Jasso | Afp | Getty Images

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey told CNBC on Thursday that the U.K. was heading for more economic uncertainty, despite the country being the first to strike a trade agreement with the U.S. under President Donald Trump’s controversial tariff regime.

“The tariff and trade situation has injected more uncertainty into the situation… There’s more uncertainty now than there was in the past,” Bailey told CNBC in an interview.

“A U.K.-U.S. trade agreement is very welcome in that sense, very welcome. But the U.K. is a very open economy,” he continued.

That means that the impact from tariffs on the U.K. economy comes not just from its own trade relationship with Washington, but also from those of the U.S. and the rest of the world, he said.

“I hope that what we’re seeing on the U.K.-U.S. trade side will be the first of many, and it will be repeated by a whole series of trade agreements, but we have to see that happen of course, and where it actually ends up.”

“Because, of course, we are looking at tariff levels that are probably higher than they were beforehand.”

Trump unveils United Kingdom trade deal, first since ‘reciprocal’ tariff pause

In Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Report released Thursday, the word “uncertainty” was used 41 times across its 97 pages, up from 36 times in February, according to a CNBC tally.

The U.K. central bank cut interest rates by a quarter percentage point on Thursday, taking its key rate to 4.25%. The decision was highly divided among the seven members of its Monetary Policy Committee, with five voting for the 25 basis point cut, two voting to hold rates and two voting to reduce by a larger 50 basis points.

Bailey said that while some analysts had perceived the rate decision as more hawkish than expected — in other words, leaning toward holding rates elevated than slashing them rapidly — he was not surprised by the close vote.

“What it reflects is that there are two sides, there are risks on both sides here,” he told CNBC.

“We could get a much more severe weakness of demand than we were expecting, that could then pass through to a weaker outlook for inflation than we were expecting.”

“There’s a risk on the other side that we could get some combination of more persistence in the inflation effects that are gradually working their way through the system,” such as in wages and energy, while “supply capacity in the economy is weaker,” he said.

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