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The unemployment rate barely rose, but only 175,000 jobs were added in April

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A lackluster 175,000 jobs were added in April, many in the healthcare sector.  (iStock)

The U.S. added 175,000 jobs in April, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation report. That’s a small jump compared to the average monthly increase of 242,000 that occurred over the last 12 months.

In April, the unemployment rate sat at 3.9%, up slightly from 3.8% in March, putting the total number of unemployed individuals at 6.5 million. Those who qualify as long-term unemployed — individuals without a job for 27 weeks or more — hovered at 1.3 million, practically unchanged from last month.

Of the industries faced with job losses, the mining, quarrying and oil and gas extraction sectors were hit particularly hard, registering a 3.5% drop in jobs.

Computer and electronic product manufacturing jobs also declined by 1%. Other manufacturing industries, namely electrical equipment, appliance and component manufacturing saw a decline in jobs by 1.2%.

The healthcare industry added the largest number of jobs in April at 56,000. The industry has been adding a consistent 63,000 jobs per month over the last year.

Social assistance jobs also rose in April, by 31,000. Family services jobs led the social assistance sector, adding 23,000 jobs. Following closely was the transportation and warehouse industry, adding 22,000 jobs in total.

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RISING NUMBER OF WORKERS DEPEND ON SIDE JOBS

Consumers are becoming more cautious about spending

American consumers aren’t spending as freely as they were a few months ago and are choosing to stick to smaller purchases. Additionally, those with lower credit scores are refraining from spending unless necessary, Citi reported in its annual stockholder meeting.

High credit card balances are making extra spending difficult for many, according to Citi. Americans’ total credit card balances stood at $1.13 trillion at the end of last year, an increase of $50 billion, or 4.6%.

Although credit card delinquency rates fell in March, indicating that some borrowers are recovering, they’re still notoriously high. The average delinquency rate dropped from 3.09% in February to 2.92% in March. This rate is 2.49% higher than a year ago and is still higher than pre-pandemic rates.

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MANY PERSONAL LOAN BORROWERS RELY ON LOANS FOR EVERYDAY EXPENSES AS COST OF LIVING GROWS

Interest rates remain stubbornly high

Despite predictions that interest rates would be lower by now, the Federal Reserve has yet to cut rates. The Fed attributes this to inflation, which is still higher than they’d like to see.

Mortgage rates remain one of the highest rates consumers are dealing with. Although mortgage rates are separate from the rates the Fed deals with, they often follow closely. Until the Federal Reserve drops rates, mortgage rates aren’t likely to go down anytime soon.

“If the Fed does not cut rates this year, the housing market will likely remain status quo: Gridlocked on the resale side and builders buying down rates allowing the new construction side to continue its out performance,” Devyn Bachman, the chief operating officer of John Burns Research & Consulting, said.

Currently, mortgage rates hover above 7% for 30-year, fixed rate loans. Rates aren’t the highest they’ve ever been, but they’re much higher than the drastic lows seen during the pandemic.

“The housing market has always been interest rate-sensitive. When rates go up, we tend to see less activity,” Danielle Hale, Realtor.com’s chief economist, said.

“The housing market is even more rate sensitive now because many people are locked into low mortgage rates and because first-time buyers are really stretched by high prices and borrowing costs,” Hale said. 

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MILLIONS HAVE MOVED OUT OF CERTAIN PARTS OF THE COUNTRY NOW DESIGNATED “CLIMATE ABANDONMENT AREAS”

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Tether eyes U.S. expansion with new stablecoin as CEO courts Washington

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Tether CEO talks about the USDT and ensuring legal use

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates — Tether, the world’s largest stablecoin issuer, is preparing to launch a U.S.-based stablecoin as soon as this year, as its CEO ramps up his presence in Washington to shape crypto regulation.

In an interview with CNBC this week, Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino revealed that the company is working on plans to issue a new dollar-pegged stablecoin in the U.S. as soon as this year. The move comes as Tether, once accused of being a criminal’s ‘go-to cryptocurrency’ – rebrands itself as a partner to American lawmakers and law enforcement.

“A domestic stablecoin would be different from the international stable coin,” Ardoino told CNBC’s Dan Murphy at the Token2049 conference in Dubai on Wednesday. “It depends on the timeline of the final legislation… but we are looking at that by the end of the year, or early next year at the fastest,” he said.

But the timing and tactics of that next step are raising eyebrows on Capitol Hill.

Ardoino’s recent charm offensive in Washington, which included private meetings with lawmakers, a Capitol Hill lunch with Senator Bill Hagerty and parties with crypto insiders, according to a New York Times report, has put a spotlight on Tether amid the pro-crypto shift under President Trump.

That influence may now be helping shape key legislation, including the GOP-backed GENIUS Act, which critics say includes loopholes that benefit Tether and other foreign issuers – such as provisions allowing operations in the U.S. if they agree to work with law enforcement.

The logos of the cryptocurrencies Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), the stablecoin Tether (USDT) and Binance Coin (BNB) can be seen on the trading platform CoinMarketCap.

Picture Alliance | Picture Alliance | Getty Images

Tether, headquartered in El Salvador, has made legal cooperation key to its lobbying narrative despite a history of regulatory penalties.

“There is no company… even in the traditional financial system, that has such a breadth of collaboration with law enforcement,” Ardoino said. “We are always trying to do better and more to block criminal activity…. we have much better tools than the traditional financial system and we’re proving that everyday.”

Ardoino also addressed concerns about the firm’s ability to back its digital assets. In 2021, Tether settled with the New York attorney general for $18.5 million over allegations it lied about its reserves. It now publishes attestation reports and holds billions in U.S. Treasuries – managed by Wall Street heavyweight Cantor Fitzgerald – and Ardoino insists the business is well capitalised in the event of a market shock.

“We are very close to having $120 billion in U.S. Treasuries in our reserves,” he said. “We have $7 billion in excess equity within the company capital. That is really unprecedented and I wish financial institutions in the traditional financial system would at least try to copy us to provide better products for their consumers.”

Tether’s latest attestation report confirmed the firm holds about $120 billion in U.S. Treasuries. Its first quarter independent auditors’ report confirmed assets and reserves exceed liabilities by almost $5.6 billion, a decrease from more than $7 billion in its December audit. 

Tether’s partnership with Cantor, now run by the sons of U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, has also raised questions. Ardoino told CNBC he doesn’t speak with Secretary Lutnick “because there are proper walls given the potential conflict of interest,” but added “we have great relationships with many people in the U.S. and also now in Washington.” 

Eric Trump and his older brother Donald Trump Jr. recently announced plans to launch a U.S. dollar-backed stablecoin through World Liberty Financial, the finance venture backed by President Donald Trump.

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Chinese factories halt, restart work to mitigate U.S. tariff disruption

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YIWU, CHINA – NOVEMBER 26: Foreign clients select festive goods at China Yiwu International Trade City on November 26, 2024 in Yiwu, Zhejiang Province of China.

Hu Xiao/VCG via Getty Images

For years, Christmas merchandise has been hitting the U.S. shelves earlier, as retailers try to capitalize on the lucrative holiday season — a retail phenomenon known as “Christmas creep.”

However, tariffs could be the Grinch that disrupts year-end festivities, as Chinese factories and their U.S. buyers navigate tariff uncertainties to ensure that shelves stateside will be well-stocked in time for Christmas.

Shortly after U.S. President Donald Trump unveiled sweeping tariffs on April 2 — including a 34% tariff on imports from China that were later ramped up to 145% — many U.S. retailers’ reaction was to halt their orders from Chinese suppliers, forcing factories to pause production, according to CNBC interviews.

However, industry representatives say that some production has restarted in the last few days, as concerns about business disruptions and missed opportunities outweigh the tariff uncertainties.

“If you don’t start producing in the next couple of weeks, you’re going to start missing Black Friday and Christmas,” Cameron Johnson, Shanghai-based senior partner at consulting firm Tidalwave Solutions, said in a phone interview Tuesday.

“Both sides are trying to be flexible to some degree,” he said. “Retailers are starting to realize if these supply chains stop, it will be much more difficult to get them up and running [again].”

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Johnson described how, for example, a pause in orders for a factory making spoons would impact the company that rolls the steel, as well as the iron ore smelter. “These supply chains themselves, the upstream, are also starting to close down. If they close down, even if we have some kind of a deal, it will take time for things to [restart].”

Despite some rerouting of China-made goods through other countries, replacing existing supply chains and shipping schedules will be difficult to achieve overnight. For 36% of U.S. imports from China, more than 70% can only be sourced from mainland suppliers, according to a Goldman Sachs analysis earlier in April.

For example, electronic products need to be shipped out of China by early September to hit U.S. shelves right after the Thanksgiving holiday at the end of November, taking into account customs clearance and the distribution chain, said Renaud Anjoran, CEO of Agilian Technology, an electronics manufacturer in China. The Guangdong-based company delivers half of its products to the U.S. market.

It takes around six months to manufacture, test, assemble, and package, meaning suppliers ideally should have started preparing for these orders in March, said Anjoran.

Shrinking shipments

Many U.S. buyers had started stockpiling inventories since late last year, anticipating higher tariffs after Trump returned to office. As frontloading continued, China’s exports to the U.S. rose by 9.1% in March from a year ago, according to CNBC’s calculation of official customs data, while imports from fell 9.5% on year. April trade figures are expected to be released on May 9.

But those frontloading efforts have started to dwindle. The number of cargo-carrying container ships departing from China to the U.S. has fallen sharply in recent weeks, according to Morgan Stanley’s tracking of high-frequency shipping indicators. Cancelled shipments have also skyrocketed by 14 times in the four weeks from April 14 to May 5, compared to the period from March 10 to April 7, the investment bank said.

In April, a gauge of new export orders from Chinese factories fell to the lowest level since late 2022, according to the national statistics bureau.

“Currently, we do not have a lot of purchase orders for the next few months from American customers,” Anjoran said. Most of his clients have stockpiled inventory that was shipped to the U.S. before Chinese New Year at the end of January, with some orders trickling in March and April.

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Some U.S. buyers are waiting to see whether tariffs will be reduced to a more acceptable level in May before resuming shipments, Ryan Zhao, a director at Jiangsu Green Willow Textile, told CNBC. For now, the company has production on hold for orders from its U.S. clients.

Recent reports pointed to some tariff reliefs on the ground as both governments sought to blunt the economic impacts of punitive tariffs. China reportedly granted tariff exemptions to certain U.S. goods, including pharmaceuticals, aerospace equipment, semiconductors, and ethane imports.

In the latest relief, Trump signed an executive order exempting foreign car and parts imports from additional levies, following an earlier rollback of tariffs on a range of electronic products, including smartphones, computers and chips.

Trying to time it right

Despite concerns about profit margins, some businesses are hedging their bets by partially refilling orders from China rather than enduring the sight of empty store shelves, said Tidalwave Solutions’ Johnson.

“A few factories told me some U.S. importers have instructed them to resume production in an attempt to ‘time’ anticipated tariff relief,” Martin Crowley, vice president of product development at Seattle-based wholesale toy seller Toysmith, said in an email Tuesday. The company’s website urges customers to place orders by May 16, for shipping by July 31, “to lock in current, non-tariffed pricing.”

In the last few days, many factories in the manufacturing centers of Yiwu, Shantou, and Dongguan have received clearance from Walmart and Target to resume production, Crowley added. Walmart and Target did not immediately respond to a CNBC request for comment.

Some Agilian customers are also placing relatively smaller orders, betting that tariff rates will decrease by the time their products arrive at U.S. ports.

However, in the event of a breakthrough in U.S.-China trade negotiations — and a rush to backfill orders ensues — that could drive up factories’ production costs and shipping prices.

“It is possible to rush, arrange production faster if quantities are not large … but if all American customers rush at the same time, the factories are going to be overwhelmed and air shipments will be quite expensive,” said Anjoran.

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Stocks making the biggest moves after hours: AAPL, AMZN, ABNB, XYZ

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