Connect with us

Personal Finance

Social Security to send notices revealing size of 2025 benefit checks

Published

on

A new 2.5% cost-of-living adjustment

In 2025, retirement benefits will increase by about $50 per month, on average, according to the Social Security Administration.

That’s as all beneficiaries will see a 2.5% benefit increase due to the annual cost-of-living adjustment.

Notably, the benefit boost for 2025 will be the lowest since 2021. As the pace of inflation has subsided, the cost-of-living adjustment has come down with it, since the Social Security Administration uses government inflation data to calculate the annual change.

Beneficiaries saw the highest increases in four decades in 2023, when the COLA was 8.7%, and in 2022, when benefits went up by 5.9%. However, the annual COLA started to come down in 2024, with a 3.2% annual adjustment.

“Although price increases have moderated, it’s not as though inflation is over,” said Joe Elsasser, a certified financial planner and president of Covisum, a Social Security claiming software company.  

If the pace of inflation picks up again, the annual COLA could go up again, he said.

Monthly Medicare Part B premiums to go up

Income changes may prompt higher taxes

Social Security beneficiaries may request to have withholding for federal taxes from their benefit payments.

Beneficiaries may want to consider whether they want to adjust those withholdings, particularly if they anticipate more of their benefits could be taxed, according to Jim Blair, vice president of Premier Social Security Consulting.

Social Security benefits are taxed on a formula called combined income — the sum of adjusted gross income, nontaxable interest and half of Social Security benefits. Beneficiaries may pay no taxes on their benefits, if their combined income is low enough, or up to 50% or 85% of their benefits may be subject to federal taxes if their combined incomes are above certain thresholds.

“What we’ve seen with clients is kind of a surge in other income that has caused more of their Social Security to be taxed,” said CFP Brian Vosberg, president of Vosberg Wealth Management in Glendora, California.

Maximizing your Social Security benefits

For example, retirees who have $200,000 in money market accounts or certificates of deposit are seeing higher interest payments on that sum after the Federal Reserve’s string of rate hikes in recent years. That interest income may require beneficiaries to pay a higher federal tax rate on their benefits, Vosberg said.

Proactive tax planning can help alleviate that situation, Vosberg said. Strategies such as buying an annuity that lets that interest grow tax deferred or reducing income from other areas, such as IRA withdrawals, can help minimize the tax bite, he said.

Retirees should also take note if their incomes have meaningfully changed in the past couple of years, according to Blair. If that’s the case, their monthly Medicare Part B premium rate may no longer be accurate. Beneficiaries can notify the Social Security Administration of life-changing events that affect their incomes and Medicare premiums by filling out a Form SSA-44.  

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Personal Finance

Thanksgiving meals may be cheaper in 2024 as turkey prices drop

Published

on

Filadendron | E+ | Getty Images

Thanksgiving is a time to gather with loved ones, to show gratitude for life’s abundance — and, of course, to eat.

And when it comes to Thanksgiving food, it seems Americans are getting relief on their grocery bills this year following a few years of escalating costs.

A “classic” Thanksgiving feast for a party of 10 will cost $58.08 in 2024, on average — down 5% from 2023 and down 9% from 2022, according to the American Farm Bureau Federation, a trade group for farmers and ranchers.

Its analysis includes turkey, cubed stuffing, sweet potatoes, dinner rolls, frozen peas, fresh cranberries, celery, carrots, pumpkin pie mix and crusts, whipping cream and whole milk.

Bernstein's Alexia Howard on what RFK Jr. as Trump's HHS secretary would mean for the food industry

Prices for this food basket were at a record high in 2022, at $64.05, the Farm Bureau said.

Households that add ham, russet potatoes and frozen green beans into the mix would pay $77.34 in 2024, on average — an 8% decrease from 2023, the Farm Bureau said.

The annual decline in prices will be welcome news to many households: Nearly half, 44%, of people hosting Thanksgiving this year are concerned about the cost of the event, according to a recent Deloitte survey.

The decrease is largely due to various supply-and-demand dynamics driving down prices for key staples — turkey, most importantly — and an overarching decline in U.S. food inflation, according to economists.

More from Personal Finance:
Act now for $7,500 EV tax credit
How Trump’s win could change your health care
Remote work is helping Americans take longer trips

“Food inflation has been pretty tame,” said Robin Wenzel, head of the Wells Fargo Agri-Food Institute. “You’re seeing some good relief there.”

That said, a classic Thanksgiving meal is still 19% pricier than it was in 2019, according to the Farm Bureau.

“Declines don’t really erase the dramatic increases we had,” said Bernt Nelson, a Farm Bureau economist.

Turkey has been a ‘curious item’

Monty Rakusen | Digitalvision | Getty Images

Largely, that’s because of the impact of bird flu, a lethal and contagious disease among birds that has contributed to the deaths of about 14 million turkeys since 2022, he said.

Lower supply would tend to raise prices, all else equal. But consumer demand has decreased as well. To that point, turkey consumption per capita has fallen by about one pound this year, he said.

The aggregate impact has been lower turkey prices.

Weather and labor impacts

Meanwhile, prices fell notably — by 14% — for whole milk, a staple ingredient in pie and other recipes, Nelson said.

That’s largely attributable to “favorable” weather conditions in the U.S. for dairy cattle — both in terms of their overall wellbeing and for crops they eat — thereby helping boost milk production, Nelson said.

Of course, not everything is cheaper.

Prices for processed products like dinner rolls and cubed stuffing increased more than 8% from 2023, for example, the Farm Bureau said. That’s primarily attributable to non-food-related inflation such as labor costs, pushing up prices “for partners across the food supply chain,” the group said in its analysis.

Food inflation has been pretty tame. You’re seeing some good relief there.

Robin Wenzel

Wells Fargo Agri-Food Institute

Aside from labor costs, there were many contributors to fast-rising grocery prices during the pandemic era.

For example, in 2022, food prices grew faster than any year since 1979, partly due to a bird-flu outbreak that affected egg and poultry prices, while Russia’s invasion of Ukraine “compounded other economy-wide inflationary pressures such as high energy costs,” according to the USDA.

Higher costs for energy such as gasoline and diesel fuel translate into higher prices across the food supply chain, such as to distribute groceries to store shelves, experts said.

“Food price growth slowed in 2023 as wholesale food prices and these other inflationary factors eased from 2022,” the USDA said, and it has declined further in 2024.

How to trim Thanksgiving costs

Consumers often pay a premium for name-brand items, but that’s not true in all cases this year.

For example, name-brand cranberries are cheaper than the store brand, on average, Wenzel said.

“When shopping this year, it really comes back to doing a little bit of research,” Wenzel said.     

Continue Reading

Personal Finance

Could Trump reinstate forgiven student debt? Here’s what experts say

Published

on

Mementojpeg | Moment | Getty Images

Since President Joe Biden took office, the Education Department has canceled the federal student loans of nearly 5 million people, totaling $175 billion in relief, according to the White House.

It has done so mostly by improving existing student loan relief programs that had long been plagued by problems, including the Public Service Loan Forgiveness initiative and income-driven repayment plans.

Those borrowers should be in the clear, experts say.

“Any regulatory changes must be prospective only,” meaning that eliminations to loan forgiveness programs would only impact new borrowers, explained Betsy Mayotte, president of The Institute of Student Loan Advisors, a nonprofit that helps borrowers navigate the repayment of their debt.

“They aren’t allowed to change regulations retroactively,” she added.

For that reason, even borrowers who have been pursuing forgiveness under an income-driven repayment plan or a program like PSLF, but have not yet received that relief, may be safe.

The terms of a loan, which are spelled out in the Master Promissory Note federal student loan borrowers sign when they take out the debt, can’t be change in the middle of repayment, experts said.

In June, U.S. District Judge Daniel Crabtree in Wichita, Kansas, described student loan forgiveness as having an “irreversible impact,” in his decision to block one of the Biden administration’s relief measures.

More from Personal Finance:
Black Friday deals aren’t always the best
28% of credit card users are still paying off last year’s holiday tab
Here’s who can ‘easily afford’ holiday costs

The retraction of student loan forgiveness is incredibly rare, Kantrowitz writes in a recent article in The College Investor.

For example, in February, some borrowers saw their debts reinstated under the Public Service Loan Forgiveness program. Yet that only occurred because the debt cancellation was granted through an error, and the borrowers were not yet eligible for the relief.

“Don’t worry,” Kantrowitz said. “The president does not have the legal authority to reinstate forgiven loans.”

Still, borrowers should keep a record of the notices they’ve received about their forgiven debt, and any loan documents showing a $0 balance, Kantrowitz said.

In a new report, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau cites, among the errors reported by student loan borrowers, “balance reinstatements,” in which a loan servicer tacks a loan balance back on to one’s account.

Continue Reading

Personal Finance

There’s risk Trump will axe funding

Published

on

Maskot | Digitalvision | Getty Images

Prospective car buyers considering an electric vehicle may need to act fast to get a Biden-era EV tax credit worth up to $7,500, due to the likelihood that President-elect Donald Trump and Republicans on Capitol Hill will axe those savings in tax negotiations next year, according to auto and legal experts.

“There’s no question there’s real risk in the EV credit going away” in 2025, said Jamie Wickett, a partner at law firm Hogan Lovells who specializes in federal tax policy, energy and the environment.

“If you’re a consumer in the market for an EV, I would without a doubt push that into 2024, if at all possible — whether an outright purchase or a lease — just to reduce the risk of the credit going away,” Wickett said.

More people are choosing to lease EVs to not take the residual value risk, says former Ford CEO

The Inflation Reduction Act offered federal EV tax breaks through 2032 for consumers who buy or lease new or used EVs, including all-electric and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles.

The credit is worth up to $7,500 for new cars and $4,000 for used ones.

The IRA, which President Joe Biden signed in 2022, also made it easier for consumers to access the savings by allowing dealers to pay the funds upfront at purchase instead of waiting until tax season.

Trump pledged to ‘cancel the electric vehicle mandate’

The Trump transition team reportedly aims to eliminate the EV credits to raise money for a broad package of tax cuts Republicans are expected to pursue next year.

Trump’s campaign agenda vowed to “cancel the electric vehicle mandate.”

Elon Musk, chief executive officer of Tesla and an influential Trump supporter, has also called for an end to the credits and said killing the subsidies would hurt the EV maker’s U.S. competitors.

More from Personal Finance:
The 2025-26 FAFSA is open ahead of schedule
What ‘animal spirits’ mean for your investing
How to pay 0% capital gains taxes on bitcoin

Karoline Leavitt, a spokeswoman for the Trump-Vance transition, said the president-elect would follow through with his pledge.

“The American people re-elected President Trump by a resounding margin giving him a mandate to implement the promises he made on the campaign trail,” Leavitt said in an email. “He will deliver.”

President-elect Donald Trump and Elon Musk talk ring side during the UFC 309 event at Madison Square Garden on Nov. 16, 2024 in New York.

Chris Unger | Ufc | Getty Images

There’s considerable uncertainty over the contents of a future Republican tax package and the fate of the EV credit, experts said.

Extending a slew of expiring income tax cuts and fulfilling various Trump campaign promises like slashing taxes on tips, Social Security benefits and overtime pay, for example, could cost about $7.8 trillion over 10 years, the Tax Foundation estimates.

Repealing all the IRA’s green energy tax credits, including the EV credit, would offset that cost by about $921 billion, it said.

Waiting is ‘too big of a gamble’

Laura, a 44-year-old living in Charlotte, North Carolina, has been looking to buy a plug-in hybrid for several years due to their environmental benefits and cost savings on gasoline.

She was getting ready to buy one thanks to the $7,500 EV credit, which made the vehicles more affordable, she said.

Laura, who asked not to use her last name, is now rushing to buy a 2025 Chrysler Pacifica Hybrid by year’s end because the credit might go away. To wait and buy in 2025 is “too big of a gamble” given Trump’s antipathy toward the EV credit, she said.

Local car dealers have informed Laura that she qualifies for the full $7,500 credit, which carries some restrictions depending on car model and buyers’ income, for example.

There’s no question there’s real risk in the EV credit going away.

Jamie Wickett

partner at law firm Hogan Lovells

However, dealers in her area don’t have many vehicles available right now, she said — and have told her that’s because consumers are scrambling to buy EVs in case the tax break disappears.

Dealers are hopeful they’ll have more inventory in the coming weeks, she said.

Laura said she wouldn’t buy the car without the tax credit.

“If it’s not going to be in by the end of December 2024, then that changes everything [for me],” she said.

She fears Trump and Republicans on Capitol Hill might try to claw back the $7,500 tax credit retroactively, for any consumers who get an EV in 2025 or beyond.

The irony is their “complete disdain for the tax credit” is what prompted her to try to get an EV more rapidly, she said.

Take advantage of a ‘known entity’

“I would encourage consumers to take advantage of the tax credit while it’s a known entity,” said Ingrid Malmgren, senior policy director at Plug In America, a group that advocates for the transition to EVs.

Most consumers have opted to get the credit as a discount at the point of sale, according to the U.S. Treasury Department. The car dealer essentially issues an advance tax credit to consumers, and the Treasury then refunds that advance payment.

Consumers who sign a lease agreement by year’s end would be able to lock in their savings contractually over a multiyear lease term, even though the term would overlap with Trump’s presidency, Malmgren said.

But look over the agreement terms. One caveat might be if a dealer were to write a clause into the lease contract stipulating that if the tax credit were denied then the consumer’s monthly lease payments would increase, Wickett said.

He expects Republicans to pass a tax package by the end of 2025. In the most likely scenario, such a law would probably phase out the federal EV credit in 2026 or 2027, instead of turning off the spigot retroactively for all 2025 purchases, Wickett said.

“No one knows for sure,” he said. “But I think it’s fairly clear the Republicans are going to find a way to pass a major tax bill.”

Don’t miss these insights from CNBC PRO

Continue Reading

Trending