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How to get your Social Security benefit estimate

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For most retirees, Social Security benefits is a major source of income.

Yet, just 11% of Americans who aren’t retired say they know exactly how much benefits they stand to receive, according to new research from the National Institute on Retirement Security.

At the same time, 24% are “not very sure” of their benefit amounts and 22% say they have no idea, according to the research, which is based on an October survey of more than 1,200 individuals ages 25 and up.

Men are more likely than women to say they have an exact or very good idea of the amount of monthly Social Security income they may eventually receive, NIRS found.

In 2024, almost 68 million Americans will receive a per month Social Security benefit, totaling about $1.5 trillion in benefits paid during the year. Retired workers receive an average of $1,918 per month.

However, experts say it’s important to know you do not have to be retired or near retirement to start gauging how much income in Social Security benefits you may be set to receive.

How to get your Social Security benefit estimate

To help workers of all ages gauge their benefits, the Social Security Administration provides detailed statements.

Individuals ages 18 and up can check their records online by creating a “My Social Security” account, according to the agency. Workers ages 60 and over who do not have online accounts can still expect paper statements in the mail. Everyone can request paper statements.

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“Workers can go to the Social Security Administration website and log into their own account and receive an estimate of their future benefit amounts,” said Tyler Bond, research director at NIRS, during a Tuesday presentation of the firm’s research.

“Most workers seem not to have done that and don’t seem to have a good sense of what they will get personally from Social Security,” Bond said.

What your online statements will tell you

For individuals ages 62 through 70, the big reason to check your Social Security statement is to see how the annual cost-of-living adjustments affect your monthly benefit checks, according to Joe Elsasser, a certified financial planner and president of Covisum, a Social Security claiming software company.

But for workers who are younger, it’s still valuable to check statements.

“The best way to think about it is, what kind of living standard would Social Security provide if you continue to work, continue to basically get wages that are in line with inflation,” Elsasser said. “That’s what the Social Security statement tells you.”

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It can also help to get an idea of how much of your income may be replaced by Social Security in retirement.

For example, if you’re currently earning around $6,000 a month, and your Social Security statement shows an estimated $2,000 monthly benefit, about one-third of your pre-retirement income may be replaced by Social Security benefits, Elsasser said.

However, it’s important to keep in mind the statements are just a snapshot in time, as they don’t project wage increases or future cost-of-living adjustments.

If your earnings history falls short of 35 years, the estimated benefit may fluctuate, because even one additional year of higher wages can have a substantial impact, Elsasser said.

“The closer someone is to age 62, the more accurate it is,” said Jim Blair, vice president of Premier Social Security Consulting and a former Social Security administrator.

What to watch out for

One important reason to check Social Security benefit statements is to make sure there are not any errors in your earnings history.

It’s a good idea to check your Social Security statement annually to double check your wage history as it is updated, Blair said.

The records are correct most of the time, though mistakes can happen, he said.

“If you see earnings are missing or they’re not posted correctly, you can get that fixed,” Blair said. “And the earlier you catch it, the easier it is to fix it.”

To have your earnings record corrected, you can take your W-2 form (or Schedule SE if you’re self-employed), to your local Social Security Administration office, Blair said. (To schedule an appointment or get help by phone, call 1-800-772-1213.)

Other forms of proof can also be used to verify earnings, according to the SSA, including tax returns, wage stubs, pay slips, personal wage records or other documents. The agency will also investigate based on facts you remember if you do not have paper proof.

As the Social Security Administration asks online account holders to update their online accounts amid a transition to a more secure system, account holders should also watch out for fraud, Elsasser said.

Emails may try to redirect unsuspecting individuals to false links that are not affiliated with the SSA to try to steal their personal information, he said.

Before entering any information, make sure the link is a secure “.gov” website, Elsasser said. More important, rather than clicking on email links, opt instead to enter “SocialSecurity.gov” or “SSA.gov” in the search address bar.

To be sure, as Social Security’s trust funds run low, would-be beneficiaries may worry they may not receive benefits once they retire. Ultimately, Congress will likely implement changes to protect Social Security. Nevertheless, younger workers who are paying into the program through payroll taxes should still expect some return, Elsasser said.

“It’s totally reasonable to expect a benefit cut for younger people,” Elsasser said. “But to plan for it not to be there at all is a poor assumption.”

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Nearly 2 in 5 cardholders have maxed out a credit card or come close

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Between higher prices and high interest rates, some Americans have had a hard time keeping up.

As a result, many are using more of their available credit and now, nearly 2 in 5 credit cardholders — 37% — have maxed out or come close to maxing out a credit card since the Federal Reserve began raising rates in March 2022, according to a new report by Bankrate.

Most borrowers who are over extended blame rising prices and a higher cost of living, Bankrate found.

Other reasons cardholders blame for maxing out a credit card or coming close include a job or income loss, an emergency expense, medical costs and too much discretionary spending.

“With limited options to absorb those higher costs, many low-income Americans have had no choice but to take on debt to afford costlier essentials — at a time when credit card rates are near record highs,” Sarah Foster, an analyst at Bankrate, said in a statement.

As prices crept higher, so did credit card balances.

The average balance per consumer now stands at $6,329, up 4.8% year over year, according to the latest credit industry insights report from TransUnion.

At the same time, the average credit card charges more than 20% interest — near an all-time high — and half of cardholders carry debt from month to month, according to another report by Bankrate.  

Carrying a higher balance has a direct impact on your utilization rate, the ratio of debt to total credit, and is one of the factors that can influence your credit score. Higher credit score borrowers typically have both higher limits and lower utilization rates.

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Credit experts generally advise borrowers to keep revolving debt below 30% of their available credit to limit the effect that high balances can have.

As of August, the aggregate credit card utilization rate was more than 21%, according to Bankrate’s analysis of Equifax data.

Still, “if you have five credit cards [with utilization rates around] 20%, you have a lot of debt out there,” said Howard Dvorkin, a certified public accountant and the chairman of Debt.com. “People are living a life that they can’t afford right now, and they are putting the balance on credit cards.”

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Cardholders who have maxed out or come close to maxing out their credit cards are also more likely to become delinquent.

Credit card delinquency rates are already higher across the board, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and TransUnion both reported.

“Consumers have been measured in taking on additional revolving debt despite the inflationary environment over the past few years, although there has been an uptick in delinquencies in recent months,” said Tom McGee, CEO of the International Council of Shopping Centers.

A debt is considered delinquent when a borrower misses a full billing cycle without making a payment, or what’s considered 30 days past due. That can damage your credit score and impact the interest rate you’ll pay for credit cards, car loans and mortgages — or whether you’ll get a loan at all.

Some of the best ways to improve your credit standing come down to paying your bills on time every month, and in full, if possible, Dvorkin said. “Understand that if you don’t, then whatever you buy, over time, will end up costing you double.”

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Why 401(k) plans are the ‘final frontier’ for exchange-traded funds

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While many investors have flocked to exchange-traded funds, they haven’t gained much ground with 401(k) plan participants.

Exchange-traded funds, or ETFs, debuted in the early 1990s and have since captured about $10 trillion.

Mutual funds hold about $20 trillion, but ETFs have chipped away at their dominance: ETFs hold a 32% market share versus mutual fund assets, up from 14% a decade ago, according to Morningstar Direct data.

“ETFs are becoming the novel structure to be used in wealth-management-type accounts,” said David Blanchett, head of retirement research at PGIM, Prudential’s investment management arm.

However, that same zeal hasn’t been true for investors in workplace retirement plans, a huge pot of largely untapped potential for the ETF industry.

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At the end of 2023, 401(k) plans held $7.4 trillion, according to the Investment Company Institute, or ICI, and had more than 70 million participants. Other 401(k)-type plans, such as those for workers in universities and local government, held an additional $3 trillion, ICI data shows.

But hardly any of those assets are in ETFs, experts said.

“There’s a lot of money [in workplace plans], and there’s going to be more,” said Philip Chao, a certified financial planner who consults with companies about their retirement plans.

“It’s the final frontier [for ETFs], in the sense of trying to capture the next big pool of money,” said Chao, the founder of Experiential Wealth, based in Cabin John, Maryland.

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About 65% of 401(k) assets were invested in mutual funds at the end of 2023, according to ICI data. The group doesn’t report a corresponding statistic for ETFs.

A separate report from the Plan Sponsor Council of America, a trade group representing employers, suggests ETFs hold just a tiny fraction of the remaining share of 401(k) assets.

The PSCA report examines the relative popularity of investment structures, such as mutual funds and ETFs, across about 20 types of investment classes, from stock funds to bond and real estate funds, in 2022. The report found that 401(k) plans used ETFs most readily for sector and commodity funds — but even then, they did so just 3% of the time.

Key benefits are ‘irrelevant’

Mutual funds, collective investment trust funds and separately managed accounts held the lion’s share of the 401(k) assets across all investment categories, PSCA data shows.

Such investment vehicles perform the same basic function: They’re legal structures that pool investor money together.

However, there are some differences.

For example, ETFs have certain perks for investors relative to mutual funds, such as tax benefits and the ability to do intraday trading, experts said.

However, those benefits are “irrelevant” in 401(k) plans, Blanchett said.

The tax code already gives 401(k) accounts a preferential tax treatment, making an ETF advantage relative to capital gains tax a moot point, he said.

Blanchett said 401(k) plans are also long-term accounts in which frequent trading is generally not encouraged. Just 11% of 401(k) investors made a trade or exchange in their account in 2023, according to Vanguard data.

Additionally, in workplace retirement plans, there’s a decision-making layer between funds and investors: the employer.

Company officials choose what investment funds to offer their 401(k) participants — meaning investors who want ETFs may not have them available.

There may also be technological roadblocks to change, experts said.

The traditional infrastructure that underpins workplace retirement plans wasn’t designed to handle intraday trading, meaning it wasn’t built for ETFs, Mariah Marquardt, capital markets strategy and operations manager at Betterment for Work, wrote in a 2023 analysis. Orders by investors for mutual funds are only priced once a day, when the market closes.

There are also entrenched payment and distribution arrangements in mutual funds that ETFs can’t accommodate, experts said.

Mutual funds have many different share classes. Depending on the class, the total mutual fund fee an investor pays may include charges for many different players in the 401(k) ecosystem: the investment manager, plan administrator, financial advisor and other third parties, for example.

That net mutual fund fee gets divvied up and distributed to those various parties, but investors largely don’t see those line items on their account statements, Chao said.

Conversely, ETFs have just one share class. They don’t have the ability the bundle together those distribution fees, meaning investors’ expenses appear as multiple line items, Chao said.

“A lot of people like to have just one item,” Chao said. “You feel like you’re not paying any more fees.”

“It’s almost like ignorance is bliss,” he said.

 

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There’s a key change coming to 401(k) catch-up contributions in 2025

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Many Americans face a retirement savings shortfall. However, setting aside more money could get easier for some older workers in 2025.

Enacted by Congress in 2022, the Secure Act 2.0 ushered in several retirement system improvements, including updates to 401(k) plans, required withdrawals, 529 college savings plans and more.

While some Secure 2.0 changes have already happened, another key change for “max savers,” will begin in 2025, according to Dave Stinnett, Vanguard’s head of strategic retirement consulting.

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Some 4 in 10 American workers are behind in retirement planning and savings, according to a CNBC survey, which polled roughly 6,700 adults in early August.

But changes to 401(k) catch-up contributions — a higher limit for workers age 50 and older — could soon help certain savers, experts say. Here’s what to know.

Higher 401(k) catch-up contributions

Employees can now defer up to $23,000 into 401(k) plans for 2024, with an extra $7,500 for workers age 50 and older.

But starting in 2025, workers aged 60 to 63 can boost annual 401(k) catch-up contributions to $10,000 — or 150% of the catch-up limit — whichever is greater. The IRS hasn’t yet unveiled the catch-up contribution limit for 2025.  

“This can be a great way for people to boost their retirement savings,” said certified financial planner Jamie Bosse, senior advisor at CGN Advisors in Manhattan, Kansas.

An estimated 15% of eligible workers made catch-up contributions in 2023, according to Vanguard’s 2024 How America Saves report.

Those making catch-up contributions tend to be higher earners, Vanguard’s Stinnett explained. But they could still have “real concerns about being able to retire comfortably.”

More than half of 401(k) participants with income above $150,000 and nearly 40% with an account balance of more than $250,000 made catch-up contributions in 2023, the Vanguard report found.

Roth catch-up contributions

Another Secure 2.0 change will remove the upfront tax break on catch-up contributions for higher earners by only allowing the deposits in after-tax Roth accounts.

The change applies to catch-up deposits to 401(k), 403(b) or 457(b) plans who earned more than $145,000 from a single company the prior year. The amount will adjust for inflation annually. 

However, IRS in August 2023 delayed the implementation of that rule to January 2026. That means workers can still make pretax 401(k) catch-up contributions through 2025, regardless of income.

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